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Malta Federation of Industrys half yearly Industry Trends
Survey
Firms expected to increase prices to meet increasing costs
by Ivan Brincat
Positive trends registered in the second half of 2000 have
lost momentum in the first months of 2001 and in certain cases
these
are expected to turn
negative.
Meanwhile firms in Malta are expected to increase prices due
to increased costs being incurred.
These are the findings in the 37th edition of the Malta Federation
of Industrys half yearly Industry Trends Survey. FOI president
Joe Zammit Tabona yesterday said export orien-ted firms had
mainly passed through a particularly good phase in the second
half of 2000 with a considerable increase having been reported
at that stage both in terms of volume of production and in export
sales.
Reports for the first half of 2001 in respect of these two indicators
are less euphoric, however, he said.
Costs are also expected to increase and in a number of cases
this will force firms to increase their prices.
However, although the situation appears to have become much
tougher than it was six months ago, the level of business optimism
has not diminished and an increasing number of firms are planning
to increase their capital expenditure in plant and machinery.
For most of the locally oriented firms, costs, profitability
and the volume of production levels are much more negative than
they were six months ago.
A number of firms expect to increase prices to counter these
developments but such a move could have repercussions on their
business. As prices are increased they will lose their competitive
edge as they are faced with similar or substitute products imported
at cheaper prices. As of January, these products benefited from
a 20 per cent deduction in levies.
Therefore, it is not surprising that business optimism among
the local market-oriented firms has registered a significant
downswing. The only silver lining in this scenario is provided
by a probable increase in investment.
In fact, it seems more firms are realising that the only means
for survival in this difficult economic situation is to increase
investment in plant and machinery, and this is exactly what
a number of them are doing, Mr Zammit Tabona said.
The survey says it is clear that firms are not taking the situation
lightly and many are doing their utmost to improve their productivity
and competitiveness.
But it is also clear that manufacturing and exporting firms
in Malta cannot hope for long-term viability unless unions and
government make firm commitments to seek permanent solutions
to many of the long-
standing problems bedevilling the Maltese economy, and which
are increasingly affecting industrys competitiveness.
A number of these problems were highlighted once again in the
non-standard question of this survey edition. Mr Zammit Tabona
said the Federation specifically asked survey participants to
identify three disincentives that could have a negative influence
on costs and performance.
Nineteen per cent of responses concentrated on excessive government
bureaucracy and related costs, unnecessary delays and poor quality
service at all levels of bureaucracy in most corporations.
The second most common disincentive mentioned was the cost of
importing and exporting goods to and from Malta, in particular,
port handling charges.
The third concerned the delays in refunds of VAT experienced
by law-abiding firms and the perceived lack of control on abusers
which brought about a high level of unfair competition. Mr Zammit
Tabona said the FOI finds that feedback from members indicates
a clear effort to contain costs and increase competitiveness.
It is becoming a challenge for them to increase the volume
and value-added of exports.
He said the Central Bank is
clearly indicating that unless the rate of increase in household
consumption is somehow suppressed, it will be constrained to
defend the value of the Maltese lira by increasing interest
rates.
If applied indiscriminately this will aggravate the already
tight
credit situation prevailing among local suppliers, and it will
render local products less competitive and the much-needed investment
even more expensive.



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