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Lm7.2m a year in subsidies for farmers
Need to negotiate additional forms of compensation
Current production levels would need to be doubled
Following accession in agriculture, an implied additional
public expenditure would be Euro 9.5 million per year
by Ivan Brincat
The government will have to fork out around Lm7,200,000 in
subsidies a year to farmers and operators in the agriculture
industry according to estimates found in a report on the challenges
and opportunities for the small-scale multifunctional agricultural
sector.
The total cost on the agricultural sector is roughly estimated
to be slightly higher.
The report, presented to the government by Ciheam-Iam Bari in
November 2000 gives an indication of the likely effect the Common
Agricultural Policy would have upon accession.
It, however, claims it is almost impossible to make an accurate
calculation of the overall effect the adoption of the Acquis
in agriculture would have on the Maltese economy as a whole.
It said that at this stage of pre-accession, there are in fact
many issues which are still uncertain. The arrangements for
single sensitive products which will be dealt with in negotiations,
the framework for EU rural development and structural funds,
within which the degree of project national co-financing for
Malta will have to be defined and also the possibility of negotiating
a special programme, in order to cope with all the structural
constraints and peculiarities of Maltese agriculture, among
others.
The report comes up with the reasons why the government has
to negotiate a comprehensive and specific programme in this
sector.
A major issue, in the accession context, is the whole agricultural
policy framework. This is due both to the major role that the
CAP still plays in the EU domain, and to the sensitivity of
Maltese agriculture in the accession perspective.
The implications for Malta are obviously the removal of trade
barriers which are substantial for agricultural and food products.
The report said this is a special matter of concern, due to
the fear that a fast removal of levies on
agricultural products may lead to
the virtual disappearance of local agriculture.
There is widespread awareness in the country that this
would be
an undesirable outcome. This is because it would jeopardise
the stability of consumer prices and the livelihood of farmers,
while making the country fully dependent on international food
prices, and because it would imply the loss of a relevant part
of the natural and cultural environment of the country.
This could, in turn, have deep long-term social consequences,
and result in an economic drawback on other economic activities
and primarily on tourism, the report said.
The report however states that at the same time a fairly high
level of protection from foreign competition is itself unsustainable
in the long run.
Considering Maltas involvement in international economic
policy fora such as the WTO and the MEDA system
the removal of levies is a long-term requirement, independently
from accession to the EU.
Agriculture and fisheries account for about 2.8 per cent of
Maltas GDP over the past years, a share that increases
to a little more than six per cent if the whole agri-food chain
is concerned. It employs 1,800 full time farmers and a little
less than 13,000 part-timers.
The agricultural land area covers 12,000 hectares, of which
about 85 per cent is dry land. Almost 42 per cent of the agricultural
land is devoted to cereals, legumes and forage crops, vegetables
account for 29 per cent of the land and the remaining 19 per
cent is devoted to fruits, flowers, seeds and minor crops.
One half to two thirds of the agricultural land is State-owned
and is made available to farmers for a very cheap and inheritable
lease.
Fruits and vegetables are Maltas most important agricultural
products, particularly potatoes, tomatoes and peaches.
The most important livestock products are pork meat, poultry
and milk.
The report said that despite the low comparative advantages
of Maltas agriculture, several local products can be regarded
as typical, showing a significant degree of differentiation
due to the localisation of production. This is primarily the
case of early potatoes, the variety internationally known as
Malta
is exported to several European countries.
Some degree of specificity is shown also by local wine varieties
for which the country has moderately good agro-climate conditions.
Almost two thirds of the tomatoes produced in Malta goes for
processing, partly in cottage plants producing sun-dried tomatoes,
partly to local processing companies. There are three relatively
large-scale
processing companies, producing tomato pulp, peeled tomatoes,
a typical (sweet) tomato jam and other minor products. Wine
is processed in about 15 diversified wineries, some of which
are relatively large scale, by Maltas standards.
At present, some important export destinations of Maltese agricultural
products are non-EU countries, and especially those of the Middle
East. The most important partners are Saudi Arabia with a share
of 17 per cent followed by Italy, the United Arab Emirates,
the Netherlands, Djibouti, Egypt, Oman, Yemen, and so on.
The report said that for most products, and in a relatively
short time, Maltese agriculture will face a price shock. In
order to avoid such a shock turning into a sharp income fall
for Maltese farmers, compensation will be necessary: the rationale
for such compensation lies in the specific, very unfavourable,
conditions of Maltas agricultural sector and in the necessity
for this island country to keep the sector alive. A necessity
enforced by the fact that the size of Maltese agriculture, even
in the current context of over protection, is already very small,
both in absolute terms and as a share of national GDP and total
labour force.
The Maltese government will need to negotiate additional and
probably transition forms of compensation.
For example Malta currently produces 22,000 tonnes of tomatoes.
Out of these 7,000 tonnes find their way to the fresh market
while some 15,000 tonnes go for processing. Imports of tomatoes
for the processing industry are subject to a levy, but no other
import restrictions exist.
No direct aid is provided at
the moment in Malta to tomato producers.
Current production levels would need to be doubled to attain
competitiveness in the European internal market.
However although the price shock will be substantial and yields
still have to increase significantly, the presence in Malta
of some
efficient processors puts the sector in a good position for
a positive adjustment.
With regards to potatoes, on the other hand total production
is around 30,000 tonnes. The production of early potatoes in
Malta is acknowledged as typical and specific. The name Malta
cannot be used but Maltese potatoes could be at least differentiated
by a symbol, like those supported in remote territories and
islands of member States.
The report said the winery industry appears as the most threatened
component from foreign competition after accession, the risks
for the grapes growers are not to be discarded. This aspect
is of great concern in Malta taking into account the farmers
strong dependence on sales to the local winery industry.
The report suggests that the loss in public revenue arising
from the removal of levies in agricultural and food products
is estimated at Euro 8m although the report said this is overestimated
to some extent.
It also stated that the public sector will be called to co-finance
structural and rural development actions.
The report said that following accession in agriculture, an
implied additional public expenditure would be Euro 9.5m per
year.
With regards to farmers, total compensation needed in the area
of market policies is estimated at little more than Euro 17m.
This figure is deemed to be pessimistic because it would mean
that the negotiations with the EU did not yield any result whatsoever.
Consumers and the food industry in general are set to experience
a benefit of Euro 4.8m per year.
The total net balance as the bill of EU accession for farmers
and the food industry is around Euro 18m per year. This figure,
the report said, is a tentative one.
The reason behind these costs is that Maltese agriculture is
specialised in production for which the CAP does not provide
significant support. Production in Malta tends to suffer from
structural constraints that reduce their competitiveness. Moreover,
the agro-industry and consumers are benefiting from cheap imports
from the EU and in the case of some products which are heavily
protected in the EU, from lower world market prices.
The report said all these points have to be strongly underlined
in the negotiation process, as good reasons for asking for a
substantial compensation which the EU should be prepared to
discuss with a sympathetic attitude.



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